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February 03, 2025

Bangladesh on Watch List of world's 10 countries facing deadly conflict

Here are some additional observations:

The list includes: The Democratic Republic of Congo, Sudan, Moldova, Ukraine, Colombia, Iran, Israel, Palestine, and Syria.

Notably, Bangladesh is the only Asian country mentioned, as it is descending into a situation similar to that of Taliban-ruled Afghanistan.

Yunus is losing support and struggling to manage rifts with other political factions while facing criticism over his day-to-day management.

The International Crisis Group (ICG) has placed Bangladesh at the topside of its 2025 Watch List of 10 countries facing deadly conflict, humanitarian emergencies, and other crises. The other countries on the list are the Democratic Republic of Congo, Sudan, Moldova, Ukraine, Colombia, Iran, Israel, Palestine, and Syria.

The Brussels-based organization published the Watch List on January 30, 2025. Bangladesh is the only Asian country included in the negative list, not only because it has been experiencing turbulent times but also due to its descent towards a situation reminiscent of Taliban-ruled Afghanistan.

In a report titled "Bangladesh: The Dilemmas of a Democratic Transition," associated with the Watch List, the ICG warned that Bangladesh is descending into turmoil akin to Taliban-controlled Afghanistan. This situation arose when Yunus faced allegations of rising violence against religious minorities, particularly Hindus, who make up around 8% of the population, and accusations of turning a blind eye to, if not encouraging, the growing influence of Islamist forces in the wake of Hasina's ouster.

The organization acknowledged that attacks on Hindus took place after Hasina fled, but most victims seemed to have been targeted due to their affiliation with the former regime rather than their religious identity. A respected human rights group documented 127 incidents of violence against Hindus in 2024—a number sharply higher than the previous year but fewer than that recorded in 2021.

The ICG also raised concerns over the deteriorating relationship between Bangladesh and India, stating that Dhaka can hardly afford to alienate the regional superpower, which remains a crucial political and economic partner. It also noted that Bangladesh's other international border, with Myanmar, is even more restive.

Against this backdrop, the Crisis Group observed that the overwhelming support the interim government enjoyed in the immediate aftermath of Hasina's downfall has begun to wane, and Yunus is now facing pressure to deliver concrete results. His government has not only struggled to contain rifts with other political forces but is also facing public criticism over its day-to-day management. The challenges are likely to grow in the coming year as opposition parties, student leaders, Islamist groups, and other key players jockey for electoral advantage.

Despite these challenges, the ICG stated that Bangladesh presents the EU with a rare opportunity to support a democratic transition and improve its standing with an important trade partner in a region of critical geopolitical importance.